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Clutch Hitting: Fact or Fiction? (February 2, 2004)
Discussion ThreadPosted 3:42 p.m.,
February 12, 2004
(#148) -
Schindleria Praematurus
Sorry to join up late, but I've got a question about this. To summarize a little of what's come before:
1) clutch hitting ability exists
2) singles hitters tend to have more clutch hitting ability than power hitters
3) all hitters tend to perform worse during clutch situations than they do during the rest of the game
4) #3 is mainly attributable to the superior quality of the pitchers who appear during late innings.
One hypothesis that could explain all of this: singles hitters have an advantage against the types of pitchers who become late-inning relievers that power hitters do not share.
Here's my question: is there any kind of "profile" for late-inning relievers that describes a difference in how they pitch relative to the types of pitchers that we see in the first six innings? (I mean a difference other than the fact that they're better pitchers, a la post #18 and many others, of course) For example, do we see a larger number of power pitchers in the late innings than in the rest of the game?
Because if, hypothetically, there are more power pitchers in innings 7-9, and singles hitters tend to hit power pitchers better than power hitters, that might explain conclusion #2. And if we compare the hitters who have clutch ability with the hitters who tend to do well against power pitchers (or whatever kind of pitcher is disproportionately present in late innings), we might find that this hypothesis explains the observations.
The higher strikeout rate of late inning relievers (post #22) is suggestive of an answer to this question, but I'm not sure where to go from here.
The 2004 Marcels (March 10, 2004)
Posted 11:54 a.m.,
March 13, 2004
(#21) -
Schindleria praematurus
Sorry to threadjack, but is there anything Tango or any of the other "heavy lifters" around here would like done by a low-skilled laborer?
I slept through a statistics course in college and otherwise have no qualifications at all. In other words, I'm not much better than Marcel the Monkey, with a spreadsheet. Is there anything I can do to help with anything y'all are working on?
Park Factors (March 18, 2004)
Posted 7:57 a.m.,
March 19, 2004
(#10) -
Schindleria praematurus
Sorry for the relatively ignorant questions -- I'm just trying to understand park factors...
Is the solution to use only visitors' stats to calculate park factors? You'd still get more players from a particular division, but it would help to balance out the effect of any particular outlier.
Does this mean that maybe Camden Yards isn't the relative "pitcher's park" that I keep reading on Primer threads that it is? I keep reading the same comment that goes something like this: "When Camden first opened, it was a hitter's park with a PF above 100, but as time has gone by and other parks have opened, it's now a mid-90s pitcher's park." How much of that can be attributed to the fact that the Orioles lately have stunk?